PolyMarket V2 Command DeckLIVEMode MismatchLive Supabase feed

Live pilot operator deck for mode truth, trading evidence, and hidden failure paths.

This surface separates bot alive, bot trading, and bot degraded so the pilot cannot look green just because heartbeats and balance audits are still flowing.

Runtime mode

LIVE / mismatch

https://clob-v2.polymarket.com · dashboard env disagrees with bot env

Kill switch

Trip history

INVARIANT_I4 at Apr 24, 4:25 PM

Mode truth

Bot runtime

LIVE

negative

https://clob-v2.polymarket.com · $80.00 cap · last heartbeat Apr 24, 4:28 PM

Dashboard env disagrees with bot env

Trading evidence

Real activity

40 orders

warning

0 open orders · 1 open group · 8 ledger events

Last order FILLED at Apr 25, 1:35 PM

Transport

Request + error flow

0/5m

positive

0 CLOB · 0 Supabase · 0 heartbeats OK

0 transport errors · 0 auth errors

Capital

Portfolio value

$5.26

neutral

Cash $5.26 · marked positions $0.00 · reserved $0.00

Collateral PUSD

Performance canvas

Wallet and reserved-capital curve

Apr 30, 5:50 PM

Range

$5.26

Peak $107

Floor $5.26

Apr 22
Apr 23
Apr 24
Apr 25

Evidence drift

Latest rail
Apr 22$0.00
Apr 23$0.00
Apr 24$0.00
Apr 25$0.00

Safety rail

6 checks

Runtime mode

LIVE / mismatch

https://clob-v2.polymarket.com · dashboard env disagrees with bot env

Kill switch

Trip history

INVARIANT_I4 at Apr 24, 4:25 PM

Ledger watchers

No recent disable warnings

No recent watcher-disable lines found in the bot log window.

Collateral path

PUSD

Collateral token matches the expected pUSD path.

Balance audit

$126.17 drift

WARN_POSITION_CASH_DRIFT

Settlement proof

5 finalized

0 merges · 5 redeems visible in the ledger tables.

Plan evidence

Plan sleeves

9-plan portfolio

P8 · Parity

BTC + multi-coin parity arb

Armed

Buys YES + NO when the pair slips below $1 and exits through merge.

Target$22.00/day target
Pilot statusACTIVE
Evidence31 eligible markets · No order evidence yet
Reserved$0.00 reserved

P13R · Maker

Weekend / Asia maker

Armed

Rests ETH bids into quiet sessions to harvest four-cent maker spreads.

Target$8.00/day target
Pilot statusACTIVE
Evidence14 eligible markets · 6 cancelled orders only
Reserved$0.00 reserved

P22R · Tail

Tail sniper

Armed

Clips low-probability extremes where historical edge stays strongest.

Target$3.00/day target
Pilot statusACTIVE
Evidence32 eligible markets · 24 positions opened
Reserved$0.00 reserved

A1 · Momentum

HYPE 5m oracle lag

Parked

Tracks HYPE book dislocations around fast oracle updates.

Target$3.50/day target
Pilot statusON HOLD
EvidenceNo order evidence yet
Reserved$0.00 reserved

Activity tape

Orders, fills, trips, and operator warnings

RedeemApr 26, 10:40 AM

Redeem pending 6932e6…2212

0xd5d6dc274e6d86e576e4fdc54d0114e65294c13c50f15dba496c784762ab7a18 · 0.00 shares

$0.00
RedeemApr 26, 10:40 AM

Redeem pending 0b442c…66df

0xc49142a0a94b68377bbc3f2e7f7f53a400274e2dcd4536cfa343be55a3c1fdf8 · 0.00 shares

$0.00
RedeemApr 26, 10:40 AM

Redeem pending 4439d3…ccb9

0xc898098de8b909d47f745f3a11eb4a9e364f2bf3d5b3571af509d8f6f4bf975c · 0.00 shares

$0.00
Plan armApr 25, 5:23 PM

B2 armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 31 eligible markets

ON state
Plan armApr 25, 5:23 PM

B1 armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 19 eligible markets

ON state
Plan armApr 25, 5:23 PM

P22r armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 32 eligible markets

ON state
Plan armApr 25, 5:23 PM

P13r armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 14 eligible markets

ON state
Plan armApr 25, 5:23 PM

P8 armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 31 eligible markets

ON state
Plan armApr 25, 5:22 PM

C1 armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 6 eligible markets

ON state
Plan armApr 25, 5:22 PM

B2 armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 30 eligible markets

ON state
Plan armApr 25, 5:22 PM

B1 armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 18 eligible markets

ON state
Plan armApr 25, 5:22 PM

A3 armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 6 eligible markets

ON state
Plan armApr 25, 5:22 PM

P22r armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 31 eligible markets

ON state
Plan armApr 25, 5:22 PM

P13r armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 13 eligible markets

ON state
Plan armApr 25, 5:22 PM

P8 armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 30 eligible markets

ON state
Plan armApr 25, 5:21 PM

B1 armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 18 eligible markets

ON state
Plan armApr 25, 5:20 PM

B2 armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 31 eligible markets

ON state
Plan armApr 25, 5:20 PM

B1 armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 17 eligible markets

ON state
Plan armApr 25, 5:20 PM

P22r armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 33 eligible markets

ON state
Plan armApr 25, 5:20 PM

P13r armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 13 eligible markets

ON state
Plan armApr 25, 5:20 PM

P8 armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 31 eligible markets

ON state
Plan armApr 25, 5:19 PM

B2 armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 33 eligible markets

ON state
Plan armApr 25, 5:19 PM

B1 armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 18 eligible markets

ON state
Plan armApr 25, 5:19 PM

P22r armed

PREFLIGHT_SYNC · 35 eligible markets

ON state

Operator notes

What needs attention

Steady
Dashboard env is stale: dashboard says DRY RUN, but bot env at /root/projects/polymarket-bot/.env.mainnet says LIVE.
No fills yet. Supabase currently shows 0 fills, 1 open groups, 0 pm_signals rows, and 40 total orders (6 cancelled).
Current kill switch row is clear, but audit history still records INVARIANT_I4 at Apr 24, 4:25 PM.
Per-plan evidence is still weak: plans are arming eligible markets in pm_plan_arm_audit, but there is no fill-based performance evidence yet.

Full plan board

Portfolio sleeves

P8 · Parity

BTC + multi-coin parity arb

Armed

Buys YES + NO when the pair slips below $1 and exits through merge.

Target$22.00/day target
Pilot statusACTIVE
Realized$0.00
Open groups0 groups
Open orders0 orders
Evidence31 eligible markets · No order evidence yet

~$300 clip before HYPE books distort.

P13R · Maker

Weekend / Asia maker

Armed

Rests ETH bids into quiet sessions to harvest four-cent maker spreads.

Target$8.00/day target
Pilot statusACTIVE
Realized$0.00
Open groups0 groups
Open orders0 orders
Evidence14 eligible markets · 6 cancelled orders only

~$500-800 before adverse selection dominates.

P22R · Tail

Tail sniper

Armed

Clips low-probability extremes where historical edge stays strongest.

Target$3.00/day target
Pilot statusACTIVE
Realized$0.00
Open groups0 groups
Open orders0 orders
Evidence32 eligible markets · 24 positions opened

~$1.5K in thin tail books.

A1 · Momentum

HYPE 5m oracle lag

Parked

Tracks HYPE book dislocations around fast oracle updates.

Target$3.50/day target
Pilot statusON HOLD
Realized$0.00
Open groups0 groups
Open orders0 orders
EvidenceNo order evidence yet

~$800-1.2K before HYPE depth thins out.

A2 · Momentum

DOGE 5m oracle lag

Parked

DOGE lag sleeve with thinner books and stricter fee discipline.

Target$1.50/day target
Pilot statusON HOLD
Realized$0.00
Open groups0 groups
Open orders0 orders
EvidenceNo order evidence yet

~$1.5K-2K before fee drag erodes edge.

A3 · Momentum

1h Binance-alt lag

Armed

Uses Binance close leadership on SOL, XRP, and BNB one-hour markets.

Target$3.50/day target
Pilot statusACTIVE
Realized$0.00
Open groups0 groups
Open orders0 orders
Evidence6 eligible markets · No order evidence yet

~$2.5K-4K across SOL/XRP/BNB flow.

B1 · Maker

HYPE + ETH Asia maker

Armed

Leans into dead-hour liquidity with quiet maker bids on HYPE and ETH.

Target$3.00/day target
Pilot statusACTIVE
Realized$0.00
Open groups0 groups
Open orders0 orders
Evidence19 eligible markets · No order evidence yet

~$500-800 before queue quality degrades.

B2 · Maker

BTC / ETH dead-hour maker

Armed

Sizes the deepest books when the rest of the market is asleep.

Target$3.10/day target
Pilot statusACTIVE
Realized$0.00
Open groups0 groups
Open orders0 orders
Evidence31 eligible markets · No order evidence yet

~$1.5K-2K with the best book depth in the stack.

C1 · Parity

Alt parity 1h

Armed

Runs parity merges across Binance-resolved alt markets.

Target$3.00/day target
Pilot statusACTIVE
Realized$0.00
Open groups0 groups
Open orders0 orders
Evidence6 eligible markets · No order evidence yet

~$2.5K-4K before alt books become the bottleneck.

Order rail

Recent live orders

No live orders right now.

That means there is still no open-order evidence on the live pilot, even if heartbeats and audits are still green.

Risk book

Open position groups

No open position groups.

There is no live inventory evidence yet. During this pilot that is the important fact, not a sign of health by itself.